Harry Aginta Graduate School of International Development (GSID) Nagoya University, JAPAN   Furo-cho, Chikusa-ku Nagoya, Aichi 464-8601 Japan   aginta.harry@c.mbox.nagoya-u.ac.jp             JEL Areas: C2 : Single Equation Models; Single Variables: General E3 : Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)