Vivaldo M. Mendes Business Research Unit / ISCTE-LUI   ISCTE Av. Forças Armadas Lisbon, 1649-026 Portugal   vivaldo.mendes@iscte.pt             JEL Areas: E5 : Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General E3 : Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)