Mattia Guerini University of Brescia and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei   Department of Economics and Management Via San Faustino 74/b Brescia, BS 25124 Italy   mattia.guerini@unibs.it   https://mattiaguerini.github.io/           JEL Areas: C1 : Econometric and Statistical Methods: General E : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics